Al Jazeera revisits main navy, political and financial developments that happened in first month of the battle.
Revealed On 28 Mar 2026
One month into the USA and Israel’s conflict on Iran, the Center East is beginning to look considerably completely different — and the results are being felt the world over.
Power costs are hovering, violence is intensifying throughout the area, and efforts to succeed in a diplomatic off-ramp are offset by bellicose rhetoric and threats of additional escalation by either side.
Advisable Tales
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Consultants say the previous 28 days have additionally ushered in new political, safety and financial realities. Many top-level leaders in Iran have been killed, and the US has been struggling to rally allies to its assist.
The loss of life toll in Iran sits at greater than 1,937 individuals, and extra have been killed across the Center East, together with US navy members.
Right here, Al Jazeera revisits the occasions of the previous 4 weeks to have a look at how the conflict has unfolded thus far.
Week 1
The conflict began with huge US-Israeli strikes in opposition to Iran on February 28, which the Pentagon stated amounted to twice the firepower of the “shock and awe” marketing campaign that kicked off the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
Navy developments:
- The opening Israeli strikes killed Iran’s Supreme Chief Ali Khamenei, who served because the nation’s de facto head of state in addition to the highest religious authority for tens of millions of Shia Muslims the world over.
- The preliminary assault additionally included the assassination of a number of high officers, together with high basic Abdolrahim Mousavi; Mohammad Pakpour, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC); and Ali Shamkhani, an adviser to Khamenei.
- The Iranian response was fast. A whole lot of missiles and drones have been launched in opposition to Israel and US belongings throughout the area, in addition to civilian and power targets within the Gulf.
- Tehran additionally succeeded in swiftly blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway for the worldwide oil commerce.
- After the preliminary onslaught, the US and Israel continued to strike Iran every day, with aides for US President Donald Trump saying that Washington was raining “loss of life and destruction” on the nation.
- The US navy introduced the primary casualties from the conflict: Six troopers have been killed in an assault on a base in Port Shuaiba, Kuwait.
- The US navy stated three US fighter jets have been by accident shot down by pleasant hearth over Kuwait.
- Lower than 48 hours into the battle, Hezbollah entered the fray by firing rockets at Israel, which it stated was in response to the killing of Khamenei and every day Israeli assaults in Lebanon, in violation of a 2024 ceasefire.
- Israel began a bombing marketing campaign and a floor invasion in Lebanon.
Political developments:
- Gulf states condemned the Iranian assaults as a violation of their sovereignty, stressing that they’ve been impartial within the conflict and emphasising their proper to reply.
- Trump stated the intention of the navy marketing campaign was to deliver “freedom” to the Iranian individuals, however US officers later outlined extra slender objectives, together with destroying Iran’s navy capabilities.
- Regardless of the decapitation of its management, the Iranian authorities didn’t collapse.
- Iran additionally didn’t see any main defections or antigovernment protests.
- Within the US, Trump’s Democratic critics questioned the legality of the strikes, which have been launched with out congressional approval.
- Early public opinion polls prompt that just one in 4 individuals within the US supported the conflict.
- Trump stated he wish to be concerned in selecting Iran’s subsequent supreme chief, an assertion that was met with ridicule from Iranian officers.

Civilian value:
- By the top of the primary week of the conflict, US and Israeli assaults had killed 1,332 individuals in Iran.
- Essentially the most jarring assault was the bombing of a women’ faculty within the southern metropolis of Minab, which Iranian officers say killed greater than 170 individuals, largely kids.
- The violence in Lebanon displaced a whole bunch of 1000’s of individuals and killed a whole bunch.
Financial influence:
- By the top of the primary week of the conflict, the value of a barrel of oil had surpassed $90, up from about $70 earlier than the battle broke out.
- Civil aviation was scaled again throughout a lot of the area, which hosts a few of the world’s largest airports.
Week 2
By the point the conflict had entered its second week, it was clear that the Iranian regime had not collapsed and that the battle was not going to be a short, one-and-done operation akin to the US abduction of Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro in January.
Navy developments:
- A US navy refuelling plane fell over Iraq, killing all six crew members. Iran-allied Iraqi teams took duty for downing the jet, however the US navy stated the crash was not “resulting from hostile hearth or pleasant hearth”.
- The US and Israel continued to strike Iran, hitting oil storage depots in Tehran for the primary time. The assaults brought about big plumes of smoke that produced black rain over the town of 9 million individuals.
- Hezbollah and Iran launched coordinated rocket assaults in opposition to Israel.
- The Israeli navy bombarded Beirut and its southern suburbs, generally known as Dahiyeh, because it deepened its invasion of southern Lebanon.
- A number of vessels have been focused close to the Strait of Hormuz as Iran solidified its management over the strategic waterway.
- Although Trump pledged escorts for tankers stalled close to Hormuz, the US navy acknowledged that it was not prepared to accompany ships by the strait.
- Iran intensified its assault throughout the Gulf with an assault on Saudi Arabia, killing two individuals.
Political developments:
- Iran selected the late Khamenei’s son Mojtaba as its new supreme chief in a present of defiance in opposition to US calls for, after Trump had rejected the 56-year-old as an possibility.
- In a written message, Mojtaba Khamenei stated Iran would combat on in opposition to the US and Israeli assaults, emphasising the significance of closing the Hormuz Strait.
- Trump stated the conflict would finish “quickly”, however Israeli officers confused that the battle has no limits.
- Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem stated his group is prepared for a “lengthy confrontation” with Israel, describing the conflict as “existential”.
Civilian value:
- Iran stated almost 10,000 civilian websites have been broken within the US and Israeli assaults.
- The variety of displaced individuals in Lebanon topped 800,000 as Israel issued compelled evacuation orders for giant components of the nation.
- Israeli assaults killed greater than 770 individuals in Lebanon by the top of the second week of the conflict.
Financial influence:
- Oil costs spiked previous $110 per barrel on March 8 earlier than dropping to between $90 and $100 later within the week.
- The Worldwide Power Company agreed to launch a report 400 million barrels of crude oil in response to the disruption to international gasoline provides.
- Trump prompt the US will profit from rising oil costs because the nation is a serious power producer, regardless of the growing client prices and a danger of accelerating inflation.
Week 3
In its third week, the conflict noticed main escalations past the routine air strikes and rocket assaults. Israel carried out main assassinations inside Iran and bombed a gasfield, risking an all-out power conflict throughout the area.
Navy developments:
- Israel assassinated Iran’s safety chief Ali Larijani and the top of the Basij paramilitary drive Gholamreza Soleimani.
- Two heavy missiles from Iran penetrated Israel’s multi-layered air defences, inflicting widespread injury within the southern cities of Dimona and Arad.
- Israel struck Iran’s South Pars gasfield in a serious escalation that expanded the conflict to power infrastructure.
- Iran responded by attacking power amenities throughout the area, together with the Ras Laffan liquefied pure fuel facility in Qatar and an oil refinery in Israel.
- The US stated it deployed 10,000 interceptor drones to the Center East to counter Iranian assaults.
- Iran-allied teams in Iraq struck a US logistics help camp close to Baghdad in successive assaults.
- Hezbollah intensified its rocket hearth in opposition to Israel, with one launch reaching greater than 200km (125 miles) deep into Israeli territory.
Political developments:
- Trump distanced himself from the Israeli assault on the Iranian gasfield, saying that he advised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to stem such strikes.
- Iran laid out its situations for ending the conflict, which included assurances that the assaults wouldn’t be renewed, compensation for damages and recognising Iran’s “rights”.
- Earlier than he was killed, Larijani issued a six-point message to Muslim-majority nations decrying the shortage of help for Iran and reasserting that his nation shouldn’t be going to relent in its combat in opposition to the US and Israel.
- Qatar declared the Iranian embassy’s navy and safety attachés as personae non gratae after the Ras Laffan assault.
- Joe Kent, the director of the US Nationwide Counterterrorism Middle, resigned in protest in opposition to the conflict. He argued that Iran posed no imminent menace to the US when the battle erupted.
- Saudi Arabia stated “the little belief that remained in Iran has been fully shattered”, after its power infrastructure and navy bases got here below Iranian assault. Some strikes seemed to be focused at US belongings on the bases.
Civilian value:
- The Iranian Pink Crescent stated no less than 204 kids have been killed by the conflict, because the loss of life toll exceeded 1,444 individuals.
- In Lebanon, the loss of life toll from Israeli assaults climbed previous 1,000, and the variety of displaced individuals rose to a couple of million.
Financial influence:
- Iranian assaults knocked out 17 p.c of Qatar’s liquefied pure fuel export capability, inflicting an estimated $20bn in misplaced annual income, QatarEnergy stated. The losses threatened repercussions for power markets in Europe and Asia.
- The worth for one gallon (3.8 litres) of petrol within the US reached greater than $3.90, almost $1 greater than earlier than the conflict began.
Week 4
The fourth week of the conflict noticed the US declare it had been in diplomatic contact with Iran for the primary time since hostilities started. The announcement signalled that Trump is perhaps on the lookout for an off-ramp because the conflict turns right into a protracted battle.
Navy developments:
- Trump stated he would “obliterate” Iran’s energy vegetation if it fails to completely reopen the Strait of Hormuz inside 48 hours, however he later prolonged the deadline by 5 days after which for 10 extra days.
- The US moved 1000’s of troops to the Center East, elevating the prospect of floor operations inside Iran.
- Israel bombed Iranian metal factories and a nuclear reactor, prompting Iran to threaten industrial websites throughout the area.
- Qatar says seven individuals, together with three Turkish service members, died after a navy helicopter crashed resulting from a technical malfunction.
- Israeli forces attacked the Qasmiyeh Bridge, a key crossing that hyperlinks Lebanon’s south to the remainder of the nation.
- Hezbollah stated it hit dozens of Israeli tanks, claiming quite a few assaults every day in opposition to invading troops.
Political developments:
- Trump insisted that Iran is “begging” to succeed in a ceasefire deal, however Iranian officers denied direct contact with Washington.
- The US despatched a 15-point ceasefire plan to Iran, however Tehran rejected the proposal as maximalist.
- Qatar referred to as for resolving the battle by diplomacy, saying that “complete annihilation” of rivals within the area “shouldn’t be an possibility”.
- The United Arab Emirates took an more and more confrontational tone in opposition to Iran, with Overseas Minister Abdullah bin Zayed saying that his nation will “by no means be blackmailed by terrorists”.
- Israel’s Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich stated that “the brand new Israeli border have to be the Litani River”, suggesting that his nation would annex about 20 p.c of Lebanon’s territory.
- Yemen’s Houthi group, which has remained on the sidelines, stated it is able to be part of the conflict if the Pink Sea is used to stage assaults in opposition to Iran or if the battle escalates additional.
Civilian value:
- The loss of life toll in Iran approached 2,000, with 25 deaths throughout the Gulf.
- In Israel, Iranian and Hezbollah assaults killed 20 individuals within the first month of the conflict.
- Israeli assaults killed no less than 121 kids in Lebanon because the nation’s loss of life toll reached 1,116, in accordance with its Well being Ministry.
- United Nations specialists warned that Lebanon, the place the Israeli invasion and bombardment have displaced greater than 1.2 million individuals, is dealing with the danger of a “humanitarian disaster”.
Financial influence:
- Oil costs surpassed $112 per barrel, the best since 2022, amid provide fears.
- The US inventory market sank amid financial uncertainty linked to the conflict, with main indexes, together with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, seeing main losses.
