Friday, February 20, 2026

Venezuelan oil, Gaza help, tariffs: Trump’s quest for a slush fund


After President Donald Trump launched a navy operation that captured Venezuelan chief Nicolas Maduro, he introduced that America deliberate to take management of its oil income. Extra particularly, one American.

“This Oil can be bought at its Market Worth, and that cash can be managed by me, as President of the USA of America, to make sure it’s used to learn the individuals of Venezuela and the USA!” he proclaimed in an announcement.

This wasn’t the primary time he’d used that form of language. Earlier, he introduced “offers” with allies Japan and South Korea, through which the international locations obtained tariff reduction in alternate for pledging huge investments in the USA that Trump himself would allegedly oversee.

And in Davos, Switzerland, Trump unveiled a brand new worldwide initiative referred to as the “Board of Peace.” It’s being pitched by the White Home as a world downside solver, beginning with Gaza.

Based on an alleged draft constitution, international locations would serve restricted phrases until they pay $1 billion to fund the board. And, not coincidentally, the chairman (Trump) would have substantial management over its operations. Many American allies shortly balked on the association, with France’s overseas minister citing the “very in depth powers” granted to the board’s chairman.

These current episodes are all a part of a broader story of Trump’s second time period: his countless quest to safe a slush fund that he can use to personally management giant sums of cash.

The slush fund, defined

To say that Trump is in an countless quest for a slush fund is to not recommend that there’s to be a literal White Home checking account together with his title on it (he’d love that, although).

Moderately, it’s an outline of a disturbing method to governing: a relentless push to create discretionary swimming pools of cash and leverage factors of management that can be utilized to reward, punish, and command, all whereas making an attempt to dodge authorized and constitutional constraints.

When handy, he’s gone by way of Congress, whose choice to grant him an enormous $170 billion immigration enforcement fund in a party-line vote exterior the conventional appropriations course of is now central to coverage arguments about Immigration and Customs Enforcement after Minneapolis. Of that, ICE is slated to obtain $75 billion — tripling its annual price range.

However he’s additionally appeared for methods to search out management over investments by way of the levers of overseas coverage — tariffs, commerce offers, overseas mergers, navy seizures, diplomatic applications — that had been by no means supposed for use this fashion.

For those who’re considering, “Okay, however governments negotiate offers on a regular basis,” that’s true to a degree. What’s hanging is that the tariffs Trump unilaterally imposed are getting used as leverage to shake down allied international locations to feed his insatiable urge for food for grandiose headlines about alleged incoming investments.

As an alternative of enforceable commerce agreements, these offers are extra like political commitments. Locking in binding obligations and sturdy tariff adjustments sometimes requires congressional motion. The enforcement mechanism for these offers is principally his endless menace of upper tariffs. For instance, the administration reached a commerce cope with Europe in July, however the truce didn’t final. After Trump escalated strain over his demand for Greenland, he revived tariff threats in opposition to a number of European international locations.

The concessions Trump declares in these offers are additionally generally lower than they appear when the international locations fill within the particulars. Trump claimed: “I obtained [a] signing bonus from Japan of $550 billion. That’s our cash. It’s our cash to take a position, as we like.” However Japanese investments are being structured as fairness, loans, and ensures routed by way of Japanese public finance establishments and an funding committee, not a $550 billion pot of money that Trump can merely steer at will.

These “offers” are constructed to generate headlines, not binding obligations that will survive courts, Congress, and the following administration. And if the administration tries to deal with these overseas pledges as cash it could possibly direct, it might be trying an finish round Congress’s energy of the purse and legal guidelines meant to stop precisely that. (Extra on that later.)

Trump’s dream job: investor-in-chief

None of this got here out of nowhere. The slush-fund intuition was hiding in plain sight months earlier than the administration began dangling tariff reduction in alternate for headline-grabbing “funding packages.”

The seed was planted weeks into Trump’s second time period, when he ordered his administration to plan for a United States sovereign wealth fund (SWF), a government-owned funding fund.

The thought was that the federal authorities needs to be within the enterprise of assembling a portfolio of “strategic” property and directing capital flows, with the president on the middle of the choice making. It’s a dangerous thought — and one extra generally related to socialist thinkers, who see it as a strategy to disperse financial positive aspects within the personal sector broadly to the general public. To Trump, although, the irresistible attraction was that it might put him within the place of dealmaker, developer, and CEO.

The White Home finally realized {that a} formal SWF would require laws, which might entail governance guidelines, statutory limits, and congressional oversight. It might thus be slower, extra constrained, and tougher for Trump to regulate. Tellingly, plans for the formal SWF had been subsequently shelved.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed the pivot away from a proper SWF when, in reference to the aforementioned shakedowns of allied international locations, he acknowledged in August, “Different international locations, in essence, are offering us with a sovereign wealth fund.” The revealing phrase is “in essence,” as a result of there’s no precise fund; there’s simply the chief department trying to leverage tariffs and dealmaking to finance tasks “owned and managed by the USA” that will be chosen by Trump.

The USA Metal Corp. Clairton Coke Works facility in Clairton, Pennsylvania. Trump negotiated a “golden share” in a cope with Japan’s Nippon Metal.
Justin Merriman/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photographs

What emerged was the start of an improvisational workaround, a collection of advert hoc preparations meant to imitate a fund however with out the guardrails.

In June, the White Home pressured Japan’s Nippon Metal into giving the president a “golden share” — a non-monetary stake that comes with substantial management over its enterprise selectionsas a part of its buy of U.S. Metal as a way to safe a deal approving the sale.

Following Trump’s public humiliation of Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan in August, the federal government acquired a 10 p.c fairness stake within the storied, however troubled, semiconductor firm. The acquisition was funded by beforehand awarded — however not but totally paid — grants to Intel below the Biden administration’s CHIPS and Science Act, plus further cash tied to a program to supply chips for the Pentagon. The association wasn’t introduced as a brief emergency software, as had been the case with previous authorities fairness acquisitions; as an alternative, it was portrayed as an indefinite strategic possession place.

Different fairness offers have drawn on totally different justifications and funding streams. The Pentagon’s current fairness stake in protection contractor L3Harris is an ideal illustration of how the administration makes it up because it goes, deal by deal. On January 13, the Division of Protection introduced a $1 billion funding structured to provide the federal government an fairness stake in a rocket motor firm that L3Harris will spin off later in 2026. The Pentagon framed it as the primary “direct to provider” deal of its variety, tied to multi-year procurement and dashing the manufacturing of rocket motors wanted for missiles. However the fairness stake was pointless, because the Pentagon might have achieved its targets with the procurement instruments it already has.

That issues, as a result of it creates an apparent battle of curiosity. The federal government turns into the client, regulator, and partial proprietor of a agency that can compete for presidency enterprise. The inducement downside needs to be apparent: When Washington owns a part of an organization, it has a stake within the firm’s success, and a political stake in guaranteeing it doesn’t fail. That’s one purpose federal fairness stakes had been traditionally related to emergencies quite than peacetime political dealmaking.

Because it stands, the administration has acquired fairness stakes in 12 personal firms, together with a number of mineral producers and an vitality firm. The administration has made clear its intention to think about buying fairness stakes in further firms and industries.

Then, there’s the administration’s “pay-to-play” chip export scheme that takes the slush fund mentality and dispenses with the pretense that the first motivation is the US’s industrial capability. In December, the administration stated it might enable Nvidia and AMD to export explicit chips to China — overruling critics who apprehensive the transfer would minimize into America’s lead on a key know-how with safety implications — in alternate for a 25 p.c minimize of the gross sales. Observers famous that the Structure bars taxes on exports.

Cue the improvisation. Trump finally imposed a narrowly focused 25 p.c tariff on sure superior chips, together with those Nvidia and AMD might promote to China, utilizing a nationwide safety order tied to a Part 232 investigation below the Commerce Enlargement Act of 1962. As world know-how professional Paul Triolo defined, “There is no such thing as a precedent for this kind of method to tariffs and semiconductor coverage. It is a coverage designed particularly for Nvidia and AMD to have the ability to ship superior GPUs to China and for the US authorities to connect a ‘chip tax’ to this course of in a approach that doesn’t violate current legal guidelines.”

It’s a transparent instance of the administration’s governing type: continuously rejiggering the authorized construction of a scheme to protect the underlying purpose — cash and management — whereas avoiding the obvious authorized obstacles. With the direct minimize of export gross sales initially touted by Trump wanting constitutionally dicey, the White Home shifted to an import tariff ploy that might be framed because the president merely exercising commerce powers delegated to him by Congress.

The deeper downside is what this sort of improvisation invitations. Even when Congress doesn’t get a vote on an export choice, the system ordinarily runs by way of businesses, written requirements, and a paper path. These guardrails exist to make conflicts of curiosity simpler to identify and tougher to take advantage of. That concern reared its head in late January, when the Wall Road Journal reported {that a} United Arab Emirates-backed entity linked to an Emirati royal bought 49% of the Trump household’s crypto enterprise, World Liberty Monetary, for $500 million, with roughly half paid up entrance. The report connects the funding timeline to subsequent US-UAE negotiations and, finally, to an settlement permitting the export of tightly managed superior AI chips.

If correct, a overseas curiosity trying to acquire superior American chips positioned a big wager on a fledgling enterprise tied on to the incoming president, his household, and shut associates. Even when no quid professional quo will be confirmed, the mere look of a “pay for play” scheme involving a nationwide safety matter is disturbing. And it lands amid broader issues that the Trump household and associates have been monetizing proximity to presidential energy.

Okay, however is any of this authorized?

The Structure provides Congress the ability of the purse, stating that “no cash shall be drawn from the Treasury” until the legislative department formally permits it. It’s the central guardrail in opposition to Trump’s mentality that cash will be raised and deployed based mostly on presidential discretion quite than congressional authorization.

Federal price range legislation reinforces this precept.

The Antideficiency Act bars businesses from obligating or spending federal funds prematurely of, or past, a congressional appropriation. And the Miscellaneous Receipts statute usually requires that cash obtained by the federal government be deposited within the Treasury as miscellaneous receipts until particularly licensed for deposit elsewhere. Once more, these guidelines exist to stop businesses — and presidents — from creating their very own pots of cash exterior of Congress’s management.

The income from Trump’s tariffs goes to the Treasury, for instance, and turning it into spending requires congressional motion. That hasn’t stopped the president from wildly claiming he can use tariff revenues to pay for every thing from a “Dream Navy,” to changing the federal revenue tax, to $2,000 stimulus checks. However he’s made no progress on really advancing these priorities utilizing the cash in query.

These constraints don’t robotically resolve each questionable motion. Over time, Congress has delegated substantial energy to the chief department. Whether or not the chief department has misused that delegated energy is a query for the courts. Within the meantime, Congress can — and may — conduct oversight of the administration’s maneuvering.

For fairness acquisitions, the administration is counting on current Pentagon industrial base authorities and repurposed funds to accumulate stakes in firms. Unresolved points embody whether or not these statutes and appropriations clearly authorize fairness possession and, if the federal government later receives dividends or sells the stake, whether or not congressional price range guidelines, such because the MRA, require the funds to be returned to the Treasury quite than reused by the businesses.

The authorized and constitutional restraints clarify why Trump’s slush-fund hunt retains producing extra questions than solutions. The schemes are exhausting to sq. with the elemental separation of powers, so artistic authorized justifications and improvisation are required.

Oil tankers in the ocean

Oil tankers in Venezuela. Who will get the cash for his or her cargo?
Jose Bula Urrutia/UCG/Common Photographs Group by way of Getty Photographs

The Venezuelan oil proceeds saga exhibits how Trump’s abrupt public decrees can flip into sophisticated schemes after they drive his apparatchiks to behave. Trump initially stated he would management the cash, declaring that “I don’t should seek the advice of with anyone” to take management of the oil.

After Trump’s preliminary declare, the White Home issued an government order invoking emergency powers to maintain courts from steering Venezuelan oil income to the nation’s collectors. It creates “Overseas Authorities Deposit Funds,” that means proceeds held in designated Treasury accounts. Treasury’s Workplace of Overseas Belongings Management then issued a common license allowing sure Venezuelan oil transactions however requiring funds that will in any other case go to sanctioned Venezuelan entities to be routed first into Treasury accounts.

The order says the cash stays Venezuela’s sovereign property, but the Treasury might launch it solely on the Secretary of State’s course. The administration says, “It’s not our cash,” however it however controls the spigot.

Confusion deepened when reviews stated $500 million from the primary gross sales sat in a US-controlled account in Qatar earlier than being returned to Venezuela. Reuters quoted an administration official saying the Qatar fund is momentary and future proceeds are anticipated to go right into a US-based account.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio instructed the Senate that the US controls solely the disbursement of funds, that Venezuela will submit month-to-month price range requests for administration approval, and that audits will make sure the funds profit Venezuelans. However a Treasury-held, State-directed custodial fund that successfully governs a overseas authorities’s cash is uncommon, and the administration hasn’t clearly recognized the statute authorizing this construction or defined the way it can realistically audit and implement spending inside Venezuela.

The continuing murkiness blurs who controls what, the place, and below what authorized authority.

The administration’s Board of Peace initiative holds related issues. Based on the draft constitution, a rustic’s membership could be restricted to a three-year time period until it contributes $1 billion “in money funds” to increase it. Even when the White Home claims this isn’t a “charge,” the apparent questions stay. The place would the cash go? Who would management it? What’s the authorized authority for the president to solicit contributions from overseas governments? What about Congress?

On Thursday, Trump introduced that the US will contribute $10 billion to his board. That, as soon as once more, instantly raised the query of how the president can do it if Congress hasn’t appropriated the cash. As CNN reporter Aaron Blake famous, “critics have likened [the Board] to a large slush fund Trump will management.” One other day, extra questions.

This isn’t a secure strategy to govern

A purpose why these “offers” hold producing questions is that the administration is dancing across the federal authorities’s core design. Congress is meant to regulate the purse, and presidents aren’t alleged to create their very own financing mechanisms.

Even for those who assume the administration is performing in good religion — an unwarranted assumption — its method erodes the concept federal energy needs to be exercised by way of common guidelines quite than personalised offers. Commerce coverage shouldn’t be a method for the president to shake down allies. Export controls are alleged to be about safety, not income era. Subsidy applications are alleged to be debated and licensed by Congress, not transformed into partial authorities possession of personal firms. And emergency powers are alleged to be extraordinary, not an excuse to behave on autocratic instincts.

The query, “Is that this authorized?” subsequently can’t be answered with a easy sure or no. Because the Supreme Court docket’s looming ruling on Trump’s “emergency” tariffs portends, some actions might survive judicial evaluate; others might not.

However the long-term danger isn’t just that Trump is likely to be doing one thing unlawful. The long-term danger is that his presidency is normalizing treating the receipt and disbursement of cash as devices of private energy. Have been this taking place below a Democratic administration, congressional Republicans could be outraged. As an alternative, they’ve collectively buried their heads within the sand. If and when a future Democratic administration takes benefit of the precedents being set by Trump, they’ll have solely their very own willful cowardice guilty.

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